GON, I don't know if you are serious of just ship styirring. If the former, you clearly don't understand what insurance is:
The promise is very tangible. It means a) if you hit someone and you are at fault, you are protected from any claims they have on your property. More importantly, the non voluntariness of it means that if someone hits you and it is their fault, because it is government guaranteed, you are guaranteed to get the treatment and compensation for your injuries and I believe loss of income, but owuld have to check. This is a very tangible promise and as absolute as it can be. Of course, if the driver doesn;t have insurance to cover property damage (i.e. your car's damage), then because that is a voluntary form of insurance, you may have to go for them, if they have anything, to recover yuor costs. But CTP is only personal insurance and the state (and community, I dare say) agree that this is a vital protection to protect the interests of the community in gerenal.
In addition, it helps to pay for the even worse drviers who drive cars without current reg and CTP, who, if they hit you, would not have any way to pay for your treatment or lost income.. But, hey, if that is your preference, then I guess you can find somewhere in the world to live where it is optional. Not too many western countries, USA included, don't require CTP insurance.
I think you are mixing up insurance with investment products, where you earn a return on your money. With insurance, you p[ay a premium for protection for a specific period of time. They work out the expected cost of the scheme, which, apart from admin, is the cvost of the claims they expect, how many policies they will have to write, and to cover for oninusred people (where participation and payouts are compulsory). Yes, you will be covering someone who has a worse record than you, and there are others, such as Octave that are likely to drive a lot less than others, and he is covering some of your expense (on the assumption you drive materially more than 5k kms a year). You are not paying for the claim.. otherwise, there would be noo point to insurance.
Now that I am composed.. When was the last time you haggled with car insurance? I think you mean you can shop around. And yes, you could. But, you;re mixing up voluntary insurance with privatisation. The UK and the US have privatised CTP, but it is still mandatory. There is a theoretical argument for privatised CTP as it shoudl intorduce competition and it should lead to more competitive pricing. But the reality is sort of.
The isurance market is made up of brokers, reinsurers, and underwriters. Most of the insurers you see on TV/hear on radio are brokers/agents or reinsurers. Some, such as AAMI are direct underwriters. A broker is a commissioned agent - they receive a comission for each policy sold. A reinsurer accepts some of the risks but transfers the vast majoprity of the risk to underwriters. The nature of the risks adopted by reinsurers are the long term catastophic risk that occurs really infrequently. The everyday and common stuff is transferred to the underwriter.
If you go to the underwriter direct (e.g. AAMI), they take on all the risk and cost. They calculate you premium as if you went to a reinsurer.
So, for every insurance policy, regardless of where you go to get it (ie. haggle for it - that still cracks me up), it will involve an underwriter's premium plus a reunsurers premium what what they call the long tail risk, polus the brokerage commission (it is rare an underwriter or reinsurer will discount the broker fee in the same way wholesalers generally don't stff their retailers. Yeah - I know there are some do it, but their marketing approach is to not use brokers or price comparison sites - which are also just self-service brokers).
What will tend to happen is that you will find there ae very strict regulations around the provision of CTP insurance because the government have to be comfortable that the private insurers can meet their obligations - especially since it is a compulsory insurance - otherwise there is no point to the insurance. So, there is this thing called regulatory capital they have to hold based on their forecast obligations over different time horizons, because their revenue is not guaranteed. This may sound counter-intuitive, but it is possible to have a future liabillity for which you are no longer receiving a premium payment. For example, if you were iwth insurance company X at the time you hit a pedestrian because you didn't see them, that claim and associated cost could go on for years, but you may switcvh insurer because insurance company X just jacked up your premium. They still have to pay the claim for years, while you are now with insurance company Y. And it does happen quite a lot, so the private insurer has to cover a cost that a government insurer doesn;t have to as much (yes, they can - you can move interstate, or you can stop driving, but the numbers are far less than a priovatised multi-provider industry).
The other thing is, it is not a fully competitive market. First, there are really high barriers to entry as you have to have a lot of money to be able to meet all your regulatory requirements - which are there to ensure sovency of the insurers so they can pay out (interestingly, the UK prudential regulations are called Solvency, with the current regs being Solvency III, I think). Then you have to have enough liquid assets to pay the claims when they fall due. Not only that, but each underwriter and insurer has to duplicate the administration and operations of the insurance sheme they operate.. More actuaries, quants, admin staff, claims staff, etc., medical teams/panels and the like that are not able to be utilised by curernt insurers as they don't have those liabilities today.
The number of underwriters is small - according to Google, there are only 4. I think they have missed a couple - so lets say 6. Ironically, 1 per state, and none for the territories. First, you;re not going to get much competition, but since they are all subject to the same rules and have to cover the main risks, and because this is a compulsory insurance, they will ultimately have to cover some for uninsurd risk - where you will make a claim against your policy even though you are not at fault, you won't get too much competition in this space. Even though you may never had had an accident that is your fault, they are looking at the likelohood of you causing an accident, and as they saying goes, past performance is only a guide. You're getting older, your refelxes aren';t as good as they were, you're eyesight not as good as it was, etc. You probably don't want to hear it, but you could be entering the age where you are more likely to cause an accident and have a claim that a fit 40 year old who is mildly aggressive at the wheel. I think that is a reason why we tend to slow down as we get older.
Be that as it may, they will work out an average cost per insured and then apply a small discount or premium for your future probability of risk, of which your past will come into it, but not the only, and in some cases, definitive factor.
Then you go to the reinsurance premium. This is where your risk profile has much more of an impact on your premium. Also, your no claims years is likely to be taken more account of here than in the underwritten part of the risk because, although they hold the more catastophic risk here, it tends to be the very low probability stuff. Therefore, driver behaviour will more affect thei likeihood of a claim against this risk than a pure mishap that can give riske to claims under the risk the underwriter holds. The BMW plouhing into the beer garden in Dayesford is an example of that. Teh damage to the pub and the claims by people in the beer garden will probably fall on the reinsurer. But how often does that type of event happen? Very rarely in comparison to the fun of the mill hit and run, or bingle from failing o stop at a give way sign, I would guess. The reinsurer will has to cover losses of an uninsured driver doing the same as the BMW driver as well. So, that gets added eually to all premiums.
The brokerage is immaterial, as it will usually be the same regardles of who the insured is.
But, yes, you will be able, thankls to reinsurance, get a discount compared to higher risk drivers on your CTP. Well done.
Except, there is one problem under a privatised model. And you only have to look at the USA and UK to find it.
You get huge discrepancies as a result. The 18 year old in a Ford Focus (so not too powerful. but no slouch) is paying, say £1500 for CTP alone, which you may be getting it for £150. You havbe to have at least CTP to regisster your car or transfer ownership. So, he musters the £1,500 and pays it, registers the car, and the very next day cancels his insurance and gets all of it back. He is now uninsured. There are no ongoing checks (although with ANPR, they are bing picked up more often than they used to). So, now you are more likely to be hit by an uninsured driver. To get your treathment/compensation, you don't go to your insurance company, because they pay a premium to a fund that covers uninsrued accidents (third party being the operative term in CTP). You go to your insurance company and they will handle the claim for you (you pay for that as part of your premium, by the way), but they don;t administer the claim. And, because your uninsured driver may have done a runner, it coiuld be a long time before you see any of it, because they need to satisfy themselves it wasn't your fault before they accept an unisured liability. In the mean time, you could be in pain, lose your income, you job, etc for a very long time before you can get any money or treatment beyond the very basic, etc.
Not only that, but because the number of uninsured drivers is higher and they are, for reinsurance purposes, in the higher risk category, thes uninsured fund will demand more premium form the insurers. And that will mean more premiumn to you - remember we are talking mandatory/compulsory insurance here.
Which will mean, you probably won't save as much as you think. You're older, so you;re more of a risk whether you like it or not; you've still got to cover at least some of those that aren't as good a driver as you thanks to the underwriting component. And thanks to the privatised component and not hooking it up to your rego, you now have to cover an unisured fund as well as the need to make profit that will drag that difference to a lot lower than you think.
Australia (or the states) have got it right. Just check out how much we actually pay for a private CTP insurance is in the US or the UK (and yes, for the US, you have to take into account the ridiculous sums of compenation they pay - so not entirely apples with apples).