pmccarthy

The climate IS changing. It is changing now more rapidly than it did 100 years ago. But that does not mean we can predict the future climate. Our historical records are limited and compromised, and we don't have computer models that can predict the future. In fact, it is a limitation of all time-series-based models that you cannot extrapolate very far beyond the end of the data set. This is true even for something as simple as stock market prices, and the climate is vastly more complicated.

The past climate tells us that the future climate will be variable and is unpredictable, at least to our understanding. The drivers of climate include subsea volcanism, solar variation, the path of the solar system and so on. We understand some of it, particularly its cyclic nature, but are a long way from predicting the future climate.

I think Bill Gates was trying to do that. But relationships (with his wife and Epstein) have got in the way.

My random thought today is what would you do if you had unlimited money. Like the tech bros or the head of Qantas, once they retire and are in their mid 70s. I don't really need anything more, possessions come with problems. Perhaps I would like a classic Bentley or a Hispano Suiza or something that costs millions, but only if I had a mechanic to look after it. I have a little plane, a Vixxen, and cannot think of a different make or model that I would rather have. I could travel more, but travel can be tiring as you get older. Maybe a couple of overseas trips each year, first class. I don't want a holiday house. But whatever I think of would not make a dent in the annual salaries those people earned, and they earned them for years or decades. How would you spend that money?

They start and end with the same letter.

Muscles disappear. If you diet, fat around the shoulders disappears. But that big spare tyre around the gut is immovable.

Nearest towns are 20 minutes either way. When I go downhill to town my Prado gets about 7 l/100 km. When I go the other way, uphill to the other town, I get about 11 l/100km. Of course.

Me too, all of that.

Change of venue

Working on my craft.

This paper examines the correlation between end-user electricity prices and the share of solar and wind energy in total electricity production in OECD countries. It is shown (i) that end-user prices in recent years (2020–2022) are positively correlated with the share of solar and wind and (ii) that the price of electricity in the majority of countries has risen with the solar and wind share since these types of energy came on the scene. (paper published 2024) Green Electricity Prices | Biophysical Economics and Sustainability | Springer Nature Link

Making a bold choice

If they have worked for the ABC, does that count?

"The presenters fossil fuel bias and links have been well established." Why do we keep seeing such attacks on sources rather than on the information? In my opinion, many if not most journalists have an anti-fossil fuel and nuclear bias that is obvious to see and affects everything they write. But there is no point in saying so every time a source is quoted.