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Everything posted by willedoo
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The South Australian federal MP on one of the election coverage panels last night was downplaying One Nation's significant primary vote regarding it's federal implications. He frequently said he thought the state of the SA Libs in recent times was a big factor. Time will tell, but there might be a bit more to it than that. The interesting part of the SA election regarding One Nation is that it did well in a state where most of the seats are urban, city based seats. In Queensland which has traditionally been One Nation's heartland, there are a lot of rural and regional seats where ON traditionally does well, but in SA, they have very few rural seats. If One Nation continues to grow, they'll need to organise better and function like a proper party to avoid the past habit of self destruction.
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She seems like quite a capable leader and young enough to stick around for a fair while. You never know, she might be premier one day in the future, leading a rebuilt Liberal party. That's the job ahead for people like her, to bring the party back to relevance. It will take a long time but everything goes round in cycles eventually, and I don't believe we're stuck with a one party system forever. The question is, will the Liberals successfully rebuild, or will they fade away and be replaced by a new party. Either way will take a long time.
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There's quite a big difference when you look across the seats. Labor had swings against them in eight seats and a lot of them were big swings. Where there were swings to Labor, the swings were mostly small, but a couple of big ones in there to Labor. Labor seats had much more swinging to them than against.
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The way I look at it, Labor is lucky to have the Greens on their left. That 10% Green vote is quite a significant number of preferences that mostly flow to Labor. In that regard Labor has more benefit than threat on their left so it allows them to occupy a fairly comfortable space on the spectrum.
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Preferential voting sure provides a much different result than first past the post. In SA for example, first past the post , depending on the final count, might have delivered One Nation quite a few lower house seats. As it stands with preferences, they might get one, possibly two, or none at all.
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Marty, hopefully some of them got to read the emails. It makes you wonder how many are binned by staff members. I'm not sure if this is accurate or even true, but I was told a few years ago that if you write to a minister directly they are under no obligation to answer, but if you do it via your local member forwarding it on, then the minister is obligated to provide a reply.
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If they could have got it all done and dusted in a short time frame, eg: getting rid of the regime, securing the shipping lanes and oil transit and securing the country, it would have been a lot better. A bit of wish list though, as Iran is a tough nut to crack. A big mountainous country with a lot of underground bunkers, and the Revolutionary Guard Corps as a defacto government.
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Just looking at results via the ABC (updated 6 hours ago), One Nation are in with a chance in Hammond and MacKillop. Last night the Liberals in Hammond were on 51%TPP, but the latest results have them dropping back and One Nation on 53.8%TPP to Labor's 46.2%. MacKillop is tight between Labor and One Nation with One Nation at 50.8%TPP to Labor at 49.2%. Edit: those preferences are estimates by the ABC, not actual preferences didtributed.
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Here's an article on how New Zealand changed to proportional representation in 1996: https://electoral-reform.org.uk/how-did-new-zealand-get-proportional-representation/ Another bit on how and where it's used in Australia: https://www.ecanz.gov.au/electoral-systems/proportional
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The U.S. version of the Betoota Advocate.
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It's hard to see it ever changing. The two party system, sometimes referred to as the uniparty, needs preferential voting to maintain their hold. They'll fight tooth and nail to keep it that way.
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It's always interesting watching how the seats pan out on election nights. One seat, Mawson I think it was, Labor has lost 20% of their vote to One Nation. In a lot of seats the 20% approximate swing to One Nation has come at Liberal cost with a much smaller amount from Labor.
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So how does Gina get rich. How much does government regulation and tax laws contribute to her ability to accumulate wealth. If it's a factor, she's become rich under both Labor and Coalition governments. At the moment she's getting rich under the watchful eye of the precious can do no wrong Labor government. If you have a complaint about her wealth, take it up with them. Whingeing about it here just makes you look foolish. Do something about it. Contact your federal member and take it from there. No amount of social media babble will reduce her wealth and power. Only governments can do that.
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I can remember back when they mandated the low suplhur diesel there was talk of older engines having some issues with things like injector pump seals leaking. The only diesel engine I had at the time was an old IH motor, late 60's vintage and I never had any problems with it.
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A handy combination Nev. You could get on the plonk, start up all the motorbikes and have a fat old time, all in the one space.
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I filled up before the government lifted restrictions to allow us to use higer sulphur diesel, so I still have an almost full tank of the old low sulphur fuel. We normally export all the high sulphur fuel to countries that don't have as strict environmental rules as we have. $2.90 price of diesel today at our local servo. edit: I originally wrote $1.90 for today's price, it's $2.90.
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The buggerup is supposed to hit the Cape tomorrow as a cat 5, wind gusts up to 315 kph they are saying. They're tracking it to hit the east coast just north of Coen and the west coast just south of Aurukun.
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Nev, do you have a photo of it?
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Looking at the photo, it looks like the frame doesn't run underneath. I can remember in the early 70's there was still a lot of old stuff to be found in farm sheds but rare these days. There was so much around then that I knocked back a Panther 600 sloper shed find as I thought the $20 asking price was a bit steep. It was in good original condition, just needed new clutch plates. We still have a 1924 Hupmobile in the family from new, my grandfather's car. It was put out to farm use at one stage of it's life and then shedded sitting on blocks for a lot of years.
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Just posting a photo of this old Norton. A mate sent a link to the facebook group it was on, and the poster said he found it in a barn where it had been sitting for sixty years.. Looks like a late 30's ES2 with a dodgy seat.
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Most of the brains of the Soviet Union was centered in Ukraine back in those days. They provided the bulk of engineering and development for the Soviet Union and industrial capacity. It's where the tanks, armoured vehicles, tractors and machinery were designed, developed and manufactured. Aircraft and rocket engines was another area. Right up until the Ukraine/Russia war Russia was still buying their helicopter engines from Ukraine. We tend to think of Russia as the centre of the Soviet Union but Ukraine was where all the talent was. As an analogy, the Russian approach to opening a can would be to bash it with a hammer; Ukrainians would sit down and design a can opener.
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The verification is a bit hit and miss in my case. I'm logged in all the time on my phone so no problems there. With the laptop, I have a dynamic IP with my server so get a different IP every time I boot up and FB thinks it's a login from a different device. Also the IP geolocation can be 800klm away from where I actually am, so they think someone in Townsville is trying to log into my account. Usually they just ask to check notifications on the other device (phone) so I just pick it up, check notifications and click the verification that it's me. As soon as that's done the FB page on the laptop automatically loads. That method is nice and simple, but this clicking on pedestrian crossings bs really sucks. Even if you get it right the first time it's a much slower verification method.
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Suckerbook really knows how to annoy people. Went to log in tonight and they now have a Google security thing going. First you have to check a box to tell a robot that you're not a robot. Then you have to do a series of those things where you click on all the squares with pedestrian crossings or cars or motorbikes. I had to do about four or five of them.
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I just looked it up. Tasmania does have a pension or eligible concession card holder discount for one vehicle only, $60 for a car or $55 for a bike and an insurance discount as well. I don't know whether they class an over 60 senior's card as eligible. In Queensland a senior's card is elegible, a 50% discount on the registration component which is about $140 p.a. saved. https://www.concessions.tas.gov.au/concessions/vehicles
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Marty, I thought in Tasmania there's no pension discount but pensioners can have a second vehicle rego free. That was a few years ago I was told that and it might not be right. If it is, it would only be the registration component free, not the insurance and any other charges.
