Jerry_Atrick

Claude.io from Anthropic is considered the bee's knees for coind. They have just released Mythos, it's next gen.. except they haven't released it to the general public. Apparently, without specific training, it identified zero day and other vulnerabilities. It is claimed to exceed the capability of all but the best developers: https://www.forbes.com/sites/jonmarkman/2026/04/08/what-is-claude-mythos-and-why-anthropic-wont-let-anyone-use-it/ The software development industry is already being turned on its head. I used claude.io to quickly develop a prototype app that is fully industrlalised (i.e. uses all the correct data, application, user iunterface, security, distributed, and scaling techniques, complete with application and server health monitoring and the like). On the free version, it took my about two months because they have much stricter usage limits than ChapGpt. But, it was exceptionally well written code - and I didn't have to tell it what technoogy to use.. I basically said this is what I need, and it did the rest. Many companies are turning to AI.. a lot of Intergrated Development Environments (IDE's), which are th programs where you write code, debug, ibuild, etc, have AI already integrated. However, Claude is next level stuff already. Mythos basically will make the software development industry almost entirely automated. We are currently hiring a lot of software developers for a big new program of work - it is huge. I won't go into numbers, but from about September/October last year, I have increased my analysts fby a factor of 10. We have been hirign developers (we already have a reasonable number) - looking quadruple our developer count. Despite it being a buyers market, we are finding ti tough to find quality candidates and we are paying decent rates for London. So, I will be proposing to our AI team adopting an AI dev tool for our project. We have to deliver a shed load in a year, which is why we are looking to hire an army of people. But, for literally a few hundre dollars per user per month, we can get exceptional throughput. And here's the interesting thing: It can write the code and a separate AI bot will review the code and suggest improvements. If they are accepted, the improvements are fed back intoi the code writing bot as well. So, what does this do to the industry? It doesn't kill it entirely... The first thing I predict will be a virtual removal of programming languages.. Of you think about it, programming was originally writing a bunch of 1's and 0's in a specific way and took an eternity. And then, Assembler/Assembly (depending on which side of the tracks you were born) was developed as a human readable extraction of the CPU instructions. You had to learn Assmbler for each processor family (and sometimes individual chips). That saved a lot of time compared to the binary coding and the instruction set was somewhat standardised for standard operations. This is effectively a second generation language. Then came 3GLs - these were BASIC. fortran, COBOL, C, and these days Java, C#, Python and the like. They are general purpose langiages that are feature rich and provide a programmer all of the control needed, but the difference is that the language applied to any computer (wlell, almost).. as a compiler or interpreter to convert that code to binary code (executable code). So, in theory, if I wrote a COBOL program on an IBM Mainframe, it would compile and run on a PC with a COBOL compiler. The truth is there are extensions and platform specific functions. Although, Java, C# and Python have fixed that by being interpretative, and the use standard library extensions. 4GLs made a relatively brief appearance, in that they were higher level 3GLs - an attempt to make programming more English like and democratise development to the users. Ironically, langiages like Python, which are modern 3GLs have done more for that than the 4GLs. There are 5GLs, but they are largely obscure. But AI - especially such as Claude will, IMHO, replace computer languages as we know it. They will become English (or other human language) builders. At the moment, they are code generators.. I asked Claude to develop my app using Java and specific frameworks (though it suggested some better ones than I requested, so I went with its suggestion). When it did create a bug, a quick prompt fixed it. The article above talks about usign humans for reviewing the code, but I would suggest once there is critical mass of confidence in the technology, code will no longer be required. For example, you have your series of prompts to build an application. Claude (or other AIs) can generate the executable (or interpretive bytcode, a sort of executable) direct - no production of human readable code required. It will be tested and if it works, it can be deployed; if not, adjust the prompt, rebuild and retest. Back to my team; about 1/2 of my analysts are ex developers/software engineers - like myself. We have very good business domain knowledge and reasonably good, if outdated software development knowledge. My idea is that we are given a system architecutre (data lake, data frameworks, service platform, user interface platforms - e.g. desktop, tablet, phone), asd we start crafting the prompts to build the system. The first will be the data model, of which there are industry standards we can tweak. I would suggest we will have the data model done, say, in two days. We can use AI to populate the database and then write tests to ensure it works property. Say 2 - 3 days. Within 5 days I can have something that would take as maybe a month to get what we think is right and would probably take 2 analysts and some database admin support. The I can start building the individual functional services asnd UI, as well as integration to other systems. Let's say 2 months to build, system test, performance test, and have the users acceptance test it. The it is a deploy to the production environment. In fact, we could easily automate the testing, as well as for updates, any regression testing. Say add 2 months, maybe with a lead tester/QA person, an architect part time, a senior dev part time to review stuff, and maybe a database administrator part time. Otyherwise we would use analysts - probably between 3 and 5 because of the number of functions we have to deliver. And the best thing is, even if it produces spaghetti code (which it doesn't), I don't care, because what is important to me is the promtps that build the system. And you don't need to be a linguist or an expert in the coding or the specific language, database, user interface technology to use it. In fact, in my little home experiment, Clause inferred much of what it had to do without me needing to even hont at it. As I said, I can't give you exact numbers, but our non-AI plans are close to 100 people all up, with a minimum viable product at about a year, and then the full enchilada in two years.. and there will still be kinks to iron out, performance issues, regressions in releases, etc. But with maybe 5 analysts and a smattering of other support, I cam have the whole enchilada within 6 months. Now work out the man days. In the UK, there are about 220 working days for professionals.. 100-ish people * 220 days * 2 years = 44,000 working days. And my business has a cost of using manual processes and elevated operational controls from day 1, but reducing as more is delivered over a two year period. Now I have, say all my staff in an AI world on it full time (which I doubt, but let's go with it) = 110 days * 9 (5 analysts, 1 developer, 1 QA, 1 DBA, 1 Architect): 990 days. Assume $1000/Day per person. Without AI, $44m; With AI: $990,000. Assume $500/mo per user (that is what a company a friend of mine is paying Anthropic for Claude): $27,000 gives a total with AI of $1,017,000. Even if I am really, really optimistic, and we quadruple the estimates, that is $4,068,000, noit quite 10% of the costs of doing it the old way. It is going to be a bumpy ride, but in theory, all services should get cheaper once widespread AI adoption kicks in.

I was taught to earth to the body of the car - e.g. via a bolt (not of lightning), mount or similar.

Isn't that the basis of my post about the intention? I have no doubt about this. But that doen't, IMHO, change the fact that oil is the primary interest of the US, and Israel in this case is a smokescreen. I am not suggesting Chump is even driving it.. he may well be a puppet. The empire is in decline alright; the fall of Rome comes to mind. They won't go bankrupt for some time; and it is doubtful they ever will. The UK would have defaulted on its debt in 1976 but got an IMF or similar loan to keep it afloat. This was because of a sharp drop in teh £, but that was caused because of a banana republic type economy at the time. I think it is fair to say the UK never really recoverd and the EU gave it a bit of a lifeline. The US is likely to go the same way. From a credit risk perspective, a country can never go broke. It can continue to print its way out of problems, which will compound its internal economic woes; if they have debt denoted in a foreign currency they ahve to print more and accept hyperflation; if it is in their currency, their creditors get less. In credit risk, we treat each sovereign country as a going concern. We attache a CLR - Country Legal Rating; this means that we determine a ranking of how much they conform to the law. The US (even under Chump), the UK, Canada, Australia, NZ, most of western Europe and some of the central/eastern European countries all rank 1 (highest). Whilst their credit ratings will move, they are generally considered almost risk free (techncally the US is risk free, but that may change) in the sense that even if they default in their payments, you do eventually get it back with the back interest paid; it costs you to fnd the difference of the duration, though.

Don't blame me.. You assumed I meant pollies.. I would say this guy (if he is still there, and no doubt, his successor will do just as well, if not slightly better) gets paid pretty handsomely: https://www.themandarin.com.au/281154-david-fredericks-climate-change-energy-the-environment-and-water/ Given it's his boss that cops the flack.

The current mid rate (between buy and sell) on the wholesale markets is $1.91 (rounded to nearest cent) to £1 Normally I would take the sell rate as, if I was converting, that's what I would pay. But since I am earning £ anbd paying £ and you fellas are earning (or have) $ and paying $, it seems better to use the mid rate.

The senior ones, when including fringe benefits and then the lobbying, er, consulting gigs afterwards don't seem to do too badly

Diesel is £1.92 where I am. At the mid rates, it is $3.65 at time of writing. Petrol is £1.52, which is $2.89.

I don't disagree with this. Of course Iran is a threat to Israeli interests (i.e. survival) and US Interests. But what are US interests? Israel? Only to the extent Israel supports the US and contributes technology to US military. What other interest does the US have of the Middle East? Is it protecting it out of the goodness of its heart; or because of the extraction of oil from the Arab states there? As well as the profits that flow from services supporting their construction and oil industries. So, if the US is protecting its interests, it is really protecting oil, right? But what other interests does the US have? Well, it has an interest on containing China's industrial might, because, as we saw in WWII, indistrial might helps win world wars. It can't stop China getting hold of solar panels and rare earth minerals unless it invades China, which I think even Chumpo would work out isn't a great idea. Also, I would suspect there owuld be one or two other gulf states that would also be happy if the Iranian regime toppled. Who is to say they didn't lend their voices to this? I din't say it was a good idea. Let's face it; Chump's belligerent ideas are rarely any good. I was just proferring up a theory that isn't mainstream - but one that I thought may have some weight even at the beginning of this conflict - although I hadn't really thought about the China angle. But, I can think of one case where poking the bear good and proper would likely have solved at least one conflict.

Well, life on the CBF1000 continues. It is actually a very good all round bike.. I feel like I can tour on it all day, yet it has a little lean forward, and you can throw it nicely around - it won;t win any races, but is a smooth and responsive in line 4, with reasonably well matched suspension. It is a bit of a winter hack in places and now the weather is better, I will attack some of the rust spots. The stator still seems OK.. but I have narrowed the electrical issue I have with it. I have finally sorted out the heated grips, and they have a led that flashes green when it detects a drop below about 12.8volts or some such number, indicating the system is not charging and the ignition is switched off. And, whenever the high beam goes on or the brakes are applied, the light immediately starts flashing. As soon as they are released (or the high bean goes off), the led goes back to normal operating mode (red light for high). I have a USB connection and when it is drawing a current, it doesn't affect the heated grips, so I am thinking there is an issue with the wiring around the lighting. The switchgear is hard to get the high beam to stick on - but not a problem with the flash switch. Should be fun to trace.

This has been in development for some time: https://aptera.us/

Maybe I am giving Chump too much credit - but I seriously doubt if there was enough internal opposition, he would have pursued. He as chickened out well before it got to implementation (of tariffs) before. Maybe Net gave him the oil idea; maybe there was some other US internal people driving it. I juyst don't think Chump would have gone in purely with Israel's interests at heart.

I disagree. I think he is using Netanyahu and the Israel conflict as a means to an end. The way I see it is that he wants to be able to control the oil from Iran in the same way as Venzuela.. and control the supply to China.. Israel, to me, is a smokescreen to his objectives.

I like to drive and ride fast.. It is something that is tolerated here where it is relatively safe; i.e. motoways or dual carriage motorways where the traffic isn;'t too bad. The limit on both is 70mph (c. 110kph), but when I leave for London at 3:30am, I hover around the 80mph (c. 130kph) mark and pass the same police in the same spot with the same gun and they never come after me. However, drive dangerously, even when under the limit, and they guve you extremely short shrift. But, I do know when I drive or ride faster, the increase in fuel usage is noticeable. It is usied mostly to push the air out of the way, and the square rule kicks in. Amazoing how many people have slowed down since fuel prices have gone up.

One of the disadvantages of global trade and movement. While it is bad news, forewarned is forearmed; and the more people that know about it and its potential conseuences (think $12 lettuces), the more pressure that can be put on government to put resources intol finding a way to solve the problem. It only becomes depressing when no-one oof who we entrust and pay handsomely to look after this tries to do anything about it when they should.

How did you draw that conclusion?

Yes, I would agree with that, too. But I would suggest that is also how most of these relationships work. The question is, when Chump achieves his aims, will be still be distracted into being Netanyahu's pawn? And vice versa? My guess is Chump would be the first to drop Net rather than the other way around.

Given both you and I are not privy to the communications between the main players, I respect, but don't necessarily agree with your opinion. I will accept they don't want the war to stop - unitl there is realregime change in Iran that will help bring peace to the region. But I am not sure Chump really cares what Israel think beyind them being a useful pawn in whatever game he is playing at. Why would he treat Net any different to anyone else?

Some people think we are alread in WW3... and that rationing will come.

Well, that wasn't too bad a result.. Because of my pick against Hawthorn - 1 point win (round 4 we are talking), I think I would have just broken even or be slightly ahead. However, I was surprised to learn a shop assistant at the local servo/convenience store I go to is an avid fan if Aussie rules; Sadly a Collingwood supporter. He bets regularly on it, and although Gather Round was not a great week for him, he claims to still be up about £100 from the start of the season. He has not one bit of Aussie about him., but apparenlty on a familyu holiday in Aus when he was about 10 (he is about 20 now, I would guess), his uncle took him to a game and he was hooked. He knows all the games, players, a lot of the stats and the like. I could never have kept up with him. He is studying some wine course hoping to get to Aus and try his hand at winemaking... He knows the industry is in a slump and likely will remain there for some time. I think he wants an excuse to watch another game or three live.

Once Howard started running down the reserves, neither party has grabbed the problem and fixed it.

A cynic may say this is going to script - albeit a bit slower and with a bit more resistance. US takes control of the largest oil reserves in the world - Venezuela; one that supplies a lot to China at favourable terms to the Chinese. Who else sells oil cheap to China? Russia and Iran; both because of embargoes and sanctions. China is a key economic competitor to the USA.. and is able to do so with the help of cheap oil. And, although it is weaning itself off oil, it is still the second largest consumer of oil at 16.4 million barrells a day according to Google AI. Notice how even the rest of the world has unoffically cooled from embargoes and sanctions of Russian oil? Yes, Russia will continue to sell China its oil, but as there is now more demand for it, the price will rise. China will have to pay more. That will cause a rise of input costs to Chinese industry and inflation at home. Not a great outcome, for China, but it will put the brakes on its economy and level up the playing field in global trade. According to Google AI, China has about 28bn barrells of oil in proven domestic reserves. That would give it around 1,800 days of oil at current consumption if it exhausted its current proven reserves. Of course, there will be more, but it will want to keep as much as possible for national security. Israel is increasingly looking like a side show in this - a distraction from what is the real intention. Anyway, they are now off in Lebanon, apparently targeting Hezbollah. Interesting how they are not involved in the peace talks with Iran nor featuring in any news with respect to at least tabling with the US what would be necessary for peace with Iran. As, Roosevelt said, "In politics, nothing happens by accident. If it happens, you can bet it was planned that way." Sincerely, Cynic and Conspiracy Theorist

I was out of Australia when he was PM, thankfully. Although a mate of mine back in Australia was spitting chips over his performance. I asked who he voted for.. Was the Libs.. He knew what Abbott and his motley crew were like, yet he still voted for them. I told him he couldn't complain - he got exactly what he voted for. Apparently, the press for Labor was worse and Rudd probably didn't do himeself any favours, either.

As I said in my post, you will find some examples that buck the trend - or the exceptions. But even in that vid, the current PV solar panels are an Aussie invention, which to paraphrase the fella in the vid, was given away to the rest of the world. We are inventive, but need to get entrepreneurial. The company in the above vid are, at the end of the day a niche provider - that could engage similar markets such as the Middle Eash, and African climates as the longevity is their uniue selling point. But form the vid, their focus seems solely Australia.

Me neither. but the first movers in highe tech industries often get an advantage and retain it. Nethlerlands still leads windill manufacture even though China is in on the act. Tesla still retains a decent share of the market in the wake of massive Chinese investment and number of entrants to the market. Despite Europe and Japan this time being the laggard, they too are able to have an EV market that, thanks to Chump, s growing. Australia seems to sell its IP off and not willing to invest for the long term gains. China produces things cheaper - US and European manufacturers set up there and own the IP and the profits, at least. Even the vid says the good profressor was about dissemination of information - i.e. give away the IP? One of the reasons was there was little reception outside of advanced scientific (e.g satellite) use. We just don't embrace the future that well. A lot of people fall into the "Ok, renewables" or whatever the technology is expensive to deploy. When has capital intensive industries been cheap to deploy?: But these developments often displace the industry that was cheap to run... we never seem to learn the lesson. Returns are based on innovation investment, not operational costs. That is what I meant by another lost opportunity - we develop the future, but we don't embrace it and capitalise on it - systemically (yes, there are a few examples where we buck the trend). I see it being the same in the UK.. And now, oddly, which Chump making America grate again, his desire to roll back the ages is putting the US farther back, quicker than it has been going.

Sadly, it looks like yet another commerical opportunity missed by Australia, but at least we are starting to realise the benefits, even in the face of stiff propaganda provided courtesy of the fossil fuel industry through both social and mainstream media, soaked up by a largely but decreasingly gullible public