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Posted (edited)

Yes, I'm hoping the Bureau isn't over-estimating this one. The cyclone is pretty weak, and the radar at Learmonth is only showing scattered showers over the land.

But the interesting part (on the satellite imagery) is the big trough lying SW-NE, East of Newman and Telfer.

That trough is building up huge thunderheads this afternoon, and it appears those high moisture levels might feed West into the cyclone. Here's hoping.

 

Edited by onetrack
Posted

Well, more disappointing promises by the Bureau. The cyclone is a fizzer, it's petering out as a low pressure system in the sea off Exmouth. It's raining out at sea, but nothing on the land.

 

The trough and big line of thunderstorms that looked like it was going to join up with the cyclone yesterday, failed to do so - the thunderstorms went SSW and have drifted down through the pastoral areas (the Gascoyne), the far Eastern Wheatbelt, and the Northern Goldfields. Parts of the lower Gascoyne got some reasonable falls (25-30mm), but the other areas have only had light rain.

 

It started sprinkling here in Perth at 4:30AM, from moisture drifting in from the Indian Ocean off Geraldton - but it's now after 7:00AM, and its petered out. We've had 0.2mm. :classic_sad:

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Posted

Naturally you would have had your hopes up. Cyclones usually need tropical Maritime air to feed on and on the west coast the Rain is usually north of the LOW..  Nev

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Posted
1 hour ago, facthunter said:

Sunday morning is your only hope  for a BIT. of the vital fluid.  Nev

Saturday night's a certainty for a lot of the vital fluid at the rubbity.  

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Posted

It's frustrating seeing the Cumulus clouds develop during the morning, picking up whatever of your moisture they can, and then watching them drift towards the high country in the East to develop into thunderstorms which tear apart coastal forests and human constructions with wind, rain and lightning.

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Posted

Yes, thank goodness, the temperatures have dropped back to good levels in the 20's. There was an interesting event just after lunch, I was sure all the moisture had gone to the S.E. and the skies were clearing - but a big high pressure system working its way in from the S.W., swung the wind around to the S.E. - and it picked up some of the thunderstorm moisture, and dropped it over the city. We got 3.2mm in half an hour out of a sharp shower, best rain we've had for nearly 4 months.

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Posted

The rain that came off the low that was supposed to reform into Cyclone Lincoln (but it didn't), went through the State in a fairly narrow strip, starting from just N of Carnarvon.

 

Carnarvon got 78mm and the localised flooding did a bit of damage to vegie crops there. The heat last week cooked their remaining mangoes and their avocadoes, so the poor buggers can't win.

 

A lot of parched stations in the Gascoyne missed out, one station SE of Carnarvon got 103mm, but at Gascoyne Junction, 175kms East of Carnarvon, they only got 5mm.

 

https://www.abc.net.au/news/2024-02-25/ex-tc-lincoln-impacts-gascoyne-drought-breaking-rain-crop-damage/103509686

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Posted
6 hours ago, onetrack said:

Sunday morning is going fast and we've had exactly zero rain overnight. We got a total of 1mm yesterday. Most of the Northern and far Eastern wheatbelt and the lower Gascoyne and Northern Goldfields, got between 15mm and 30mm. 

 

Meantimes, I see where the Pommy farmers have got all our missing rain ....

 

https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2024/feb/23/farms-flooding-rainfall-winter-nfu-conference

 

 

Trust me, if we could siphon a lot of it your way, we would. I know it sounds hollow (which is why I hadn't brought it up before), but this has been the westtest winter I have seen.. Normally the UK (well, the English bit, anyway) is a bit like Melbourne winters - cold, grey with sprinkling of sunny days, and drizzly - not really a lot of rain. Rain here normally comes in the spring (April showers, and all that). Of course, also a bit of wind thrown in for good measure. But, this year it has been squally. lots of rain and everything is sodden and boggy. And of course, the road drainage is built as if the country never receives rain, so there is standing water and minor floods everywhere; I will take a drive to the Somerset leves today to see how many houses are above water (it is a flood plain where they think house-building is great).

 

This is the first year I have had to wear wellies (gum boots) more than once - ever. I may even have to buy an umbrella.

 

In different parts of the country there have been damaging floods to villages and towns, but food security will mean I would not like to be on a lower income this year.

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Posted

I have seen a few videos of idiots trying to drive through flooded causeways and stalling. Lots of people lined up and cheering them on, encouraging them to have a go. Even a Tesla with water up to the windows. I don’t know which part of the UK.

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Posted

The DUMB and WET part, by the description of it.. I don't know how far that extends.   You'll never use all the water in the Oceans. It keeps going back there. but with more crap in it..   Nev

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Posted

Appaently the UK has had its wettest Feb in 250 years (had no idea they were keeping records that long). And we have had 2.5 times the average month for Feb. And, today, it looks set to be the wettest March ever...

 

 

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Posted

I only have the Scottish Bible .

( according to King James ) .

But as the " city library " has been moved I no longer

Attend to my literary side of things .

Just have to put my trust in ' wiki ' or " Google " .

spacesailor

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  • 4 weeks later...
Posted (edited)

We are still in the worst drought for Perth and the S.W. of W.A. that I can ever recall. We've had a couple of spits of rain, less than 1 mm each time since early October 2023.

Winter cut off early after a below-average Winter rainfall, and there's no sign of rain in sight for us for just about the whole of April.

It's going to be a rotten cropping season for '24-'25, some of the Northern Wheatbelt farmers will be cutting back on area sown before long, and the soil moisture bank in the S.W. of W.A. is non-existent. Lots of people getting drinking water carted throughout the S.W., and even in the Central Northern Wheatbelt, because tanks are empty. It's pretty grim.

 

https://www.farmonlineweather.com.au/models/rainfallchart.jsp?lt=wzcountry&lc=aus&mh=168

 

Edited by onetrack
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