Better Start Building Bunkers

[Jerry_Atrick]

美国空军将向澳大利亚部署可携带核弹头的B-52轰炸机
https://www.abc.net.au/chinese/2022-10-31/china-tensions-taiwan-us-military-deploy-bombers-to-australia/100434238

[onetrack]

There's nothing surer than the fact we will see a Chinese invasion of Taiwan within 5 years - provided Xi Jinping is still alive, and at the helm of the CCP.

There may be quite a number of CCP party members however, who realise the futility of Xi Jinpings plan, and stop him from carrying it out. Or he may even drop dead, making the rules for the ball game change overnight.

 

Is there a successor in the pipeline, if this happens? I don't think so, Xi  Jinping has ensured he has no competition, so his death may cause a major power vacuum, and a lot of navel-gazing in China.

A lot depends on any major Chinese economic downturn, too - and how bad that downturn gets, if it does come to pass. I see a major, disruptive, economic downturn in China within 5 years.

[old man emu]

The United States and Australia are the children of Great Britain. We are the good child and shouldn't get involved in  other child's naughtiness.

[facthunter]

Don't mention the connection to Britain with China. They didn't exactly treat the Chinese that well.  Nev

[Marty_d]

China's communist party does hold that policy of taking Taiwan back.  However I also think they've watched the whole Russian debacle closely and they are generally far more patient that Western governments.

I hope this is so, anyway!

[onetrack]

China is in deep s***, economically. It looks like that invasion of Taiwan might go on the back burner for a while yet. Not many saw this Chinese recession coming - certainly not the Chinese - but every major boom is always followed by a recession, and China has been booming for over 30 years.

 

One of the problems for the rest of the world that is relying on large Chinese sales, is that China has been stockpiling a lot of products it imports - whether it's iron ore or grains, they've got more than enough on hand for their now-shrinking economy, so if you're intent on making a killing cracking into the Chinese market, it looks like you could be well advised to look elsewhere for sales of your products.

 

https://www.freemalaysiatoday.com/category/business/2024/09/16/chinas-fading-hunger-for-grain-spells-trouble-for-world-farmers/

[old man emu]

Once again European haughtiness has led to a situation that is detrimental to Western Civilisation. 

 

You have to remember that the Chinese have had a consistent culture for over 2000 years. There's a reason for the description "inscrutable Asian gentleman". While the Chinese did have their internal power struggles, the rest of the population got on with life. That involved developing tradable products which they shipped to the West along the Silk Road. Successful trading depends on forward planning, and being prepared for things to happen over the long term. Those are traits that are missing from Western culture.

 

It is clear that the recent commercial history of China has produced mistakes that seem to be the result of the abandonment of the traditional long term view. The "get rich quick" approach has destroyed the age-old business culture. Chinese businessmen used to be known as shrewd operators, but with that shrewdness was a high level honour, or preserving "face". That seems now to have been replaced by the Western "show me the money".

[Bruce Tuncks]

I always thought that the chinese demonstrated the weakness of authoritarian rule very well.

They led the world at gunpowder etc and then succumbed to the improved european guns, because they wasted the opportunity to improve.

They could have owned australia but failed for the same reason. And the list goes on to include even aircraft.

The basic problem was that their emperor had no way of improving his lot in life.

[Bruce Tuncks]

There actually was an emperor with the heart of an explorer. He went to the east coast of africa and learned that europe had nothing to offer. He had whole ships dedicated to growing vegetables. Alas, when he died, the new emperor dismantled all his stuff.